Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 7.959018 8.783094 9.680401 10.734163 11.943049 13.292786 14.922526
2026-01-18 6.947280 8.057213 9.348324 10.976215 12.995444 15.446603 18.692112
2026-01-25 6.149400 7.364057 8.839330 10.790387 13.344850 16.636690 21.303765
2026-02-01 5.582864 6.855538 8.454986 10.653366 13.662830 17.741924 23.879717
2026-02-08 5.121772 6.420098 8.098508 10.481318 13.870033 18.670344 26.288957
2026-02-15 4.725348 6.026622 7.749554 10.264531 13.962162 19.409423 28.484163
2026-02-22 4.442717 5.757928 7.538632 10.207154 14.257652 20.457182 31.296192
2026-03-01 4.106174 5.388553 7.155325 9.858434 14.067273 20.711878 32.802424
2026-03-08 3.767309 4.993197 6.705837 9.370293 13.605900 20.465775 33.372885
2026-03-15 3.554952 4.763526 6.478174 9.195895 13.618138 20.991535 35.412322
2026-03-22 3.619669 4.934351 6.845505 9.966220 15.239751 24.463698 43.719532
2026-03-29 3.538568 4.884181 6.875274 10.198579 15.975198 26.453744 49.470660
2026-04-05 3.342510 4.656529 6.626822 9.970266 15.908351 26.987405 52.320438
2026-04-12 3.265737 4.605532 6.650065 10.197026 16.682403 29.258483 59.676473
2026-04-19 3.109736 4.423139 6.452238 10.027898 16.703072 30.014446 63.579474
2026-04-26 2.975757 4.267848 6.288148 9.903387 16.792885 30.922501 68.098069
2026-05-03 2.845785 4.112206 6.114081 9.746962 16.802716 31.656672 72.347246
2026-05-10 2.717484 3.953098 5.925346 9.549756 16.710770 32.150546 76.060762
2026-05-17 2.625188 3.847595 5.820263 9.497541 16.906829 33.328918 82.138106
2026-05-24 2.491127 3.668407 5.581445 9.180017 16.522138 33.087806 83.768018
2026-05-31 2.342513 3.460005 5.283963 8.735005 15.833325 32.035346 82.552948
2026-06-07 2.252045 3.344227 5.140947 8.575860 15.743944 32.449651 86.369937
2026-06-14 2.309825 3.476609 5.434630 9.278194 17.604005 38.096967 110.698700